February 2012

Let’s just suppose for a moment that the Greek debt crisis can somehow be resolved without a disorderly default or the collapse of the Euro. As I have written previously, I very much doubt that it can, and today’s news gives little cause for hope. Although the leaders of both of Greece’s major parties agreed this morning to the latest round of austerity measures, the EU powers have backed away from ratifying the deal, demanding a further 325 million Euros in budget cuts. The Greeks now know how the Turks must feel, constantly on the cusp of a final agreement with the EU, but never quite getting to the finish line. This latest wrinkle will no doubt be ironed out within days, if not hours. It requires a much greater leap of faith, however, to believe that this will resolve the crisis once and for all. But suppose it does. What then? [click to continue…]



Draco, the seventh-century BC Athenian legislator from whom we get the word “draconian” replaced the system of blood feud and oral law with a harsh, but transparent, written legal code. One of the provisions of Draco’s code was that any debtor whose status was lower than that of his creditor was forced into slavery. It’s hard not to think of Draco when contemplating the current to and fro between the Greek government and the “troika” of the European Central Bank, the European Commission, and the International Monetary Fund, representing Greece’s creditors, trying to avert a sovereign default and keep Greece from leaving, or being ejected from, the European monetary union. These discussions are more properly considered a dictation of terms rather than negotiations. [click to continue…]